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Sunday, June 7, 2009

Money Management Principles in Forex Trading (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

Before you open an account with a forex broker and start trading live, you should know that the most important thing for you is good money management. Money management means how much of your portfolio, you are willing to risk on a single trade. How many contracts your risk tolerance warrants?

The important thing in trading is to learn how you can improve your investment results by making small changes to your trading strategies. Good money management rules can make the difference between becoming a successful investor in the long run or an unsuccessful one.

Have you ever played poker? If you have, then rarely you will see good players put all their chips on a single bet. As a poker player, you know by risking only a small portion of your money on a single bet, you can win or lose but be still play the next hand. If you put everything on the table on a single bet, you have to be 100% sure of winning. An impossible thing, you can never be 100% right.

You must know this that currency trading is far more complicated as compared to playing poker. You will be dealing with hundreds and hundreds of variables that can affect the markets. What to talk of only 52 cards. You must understand and implement good money management rules in order to succeed at forex trading in the long run.

You can fall into many pitfalls while trading. As a trader you should be constantly guard against two emotions. Greed and fear! In case you are on a winning streak, you will become greedy. You would want to risk more to make one big win and you would want to strike it rich in one or two big trades. This will make you risk more and more of your money on a single big trade.

When you will lose a trade, you will become afraid risking your money on the next trade. Fear will take over. It will impair your decision making. It will make you lose confidence in your judgment and decision making. Lets see how fear and greed can affect your trading.

Lets assume you have a run of successful trades. You become overconfident. You are not satisfied by risking only 2% of your equity on a single trade. You want to risk more on the trade because the more you have in a trade, the more you will make if you are right. You increase your risk to 5%. You win. You increase it further to 10%. You again win. Now, you finally decide to put 25% of your equity at risk on a next trade. Misfortune strikes, your successful run comes to an end. You lose.

Suppose you had a $100,000 trading account and you had foolishly risked 25% or $25,000 on one trade that you desperately wanted to win. Losing $25,000 means you have only $75,000 in your account now after your loss. How much you need to make to get back the original balance of $100,000; you need to make $25,000 again to go back to the original balance. It means you will have to make 25,000/75,000= 33%, so you risked 25% but now you will need to make 33% to get back your original amount.

Many investors try to risk more to recover their original loss, ending up losing more and more. Eventually those investors destroy their accounts and are out of trading forever. There are other investors who try to reduce risk even further on making a loss. Eventually they divorce themselves from any opportunity for meaningful growth in their accounts. - 23167

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