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Monday, October 5, 2009

Currency Profile Of Euro (Part III)

By Ahmad Hassam

As a forex trader you should always watch the news especially if you are trading Euro cross then any news or announcement relating to ECB. ECB publishes monthly bulletin detailing analysis of economic conditions. This bulletin can give important signals to changes in the monetary policy. Forex market participants widely watch the comments by the members of the Governing Council of ECB. These comments frequently tend to move the Euro.

Euro has become the second major global currency. All major euro crosses are highly liquid and heavily traded. Now EUR/USD cross is the most liquid currency. The movements of EUR/USD currency pair are used as the primary gauge to judge the health of both European and the United States health. Since it is the US Dollar fundamentals that have dictated the movements in the EUR/USD pair from 2003-2008, Euro is also known as the anti-dollar.

As they have tight spreads, make orderly moves and rarely gap, EUR/USD and EUR/GBP are great trading currencies. EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are very liquid pairs too and are used to judge the health of the Japanese and Swiss economies. Always remember to understand and study each currency pair in detail. Each currency pair has a unique behavior that you need to understand before you plan to trade that pair.

Euro is still a new currency. It was launched in 1999. Euro has unique risks. There are number of risks unique to the Euro. The most important is the exposure to the economic, political and social development of 15 member countries in the EU.

Although more countries are expected to join EMU, however, if a member country drops Euro and reverts back to its original national currency because it believes that ECB actions are not in its best interests, it could affect the stability of the entire region.

We can say Euro is a currency without a country. ECB has the power to determine monetary policy for its 15 member countries. With that comes the political pressure of 15 governments. This political pressure frequently tests the actions of ECB.

However, the rapid response of ECB to the present global financial crisis in the shape of deep liquidity injections has transformed its reputation. The spread between 10 year US Treasuries and 10 year bunds can indicate Euro sentiment.

As a forex trader you should know one important interest rate. It is the Euro Interbank Offer Rate (Euribor). This is the rate offered from one large bank to another on interbank term deposits. Traders and investors tend to compare the Euribor futures rate with the Eurodollars futures rate.

Lower spreads between these two interest rates make the European assets less attractive. Higher spreads between the two rates makes the European fixed income assets more attractive. Merger and Acquisition activities between US and European multinationals have important implications for EUR/USD pair. Large deals have often significant short term impact on EUR/USD if in cash.

Important indicators for Euro are Preliminary GDP that includes France, Germany and Netherlands, German Industrial Production, Harmonized Index of Consumer prices (HICP), M3, German Unemployment, Individual country budget deficit. The largest countries in EMU are Germany, France and Italy. Study of the economic data of these three countries is also important. - 23167

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Online Currency Trading A Must Read Article

By Chris Green

Many times when new to online currency trading, a new trader may find it a bit difficult to consistently make successful trades. This may sound like yourself, well you aren't alone since there are many people with this problem. Every trader has their good and bad days, sometimes it can help to leave it and clear your mind.

With so many things affecting your online currency trading focus, it can be easy to get distracted. Many times when making a trade, it is most important to stay focused, it can have a major effect on your decision making. Being focused can be the difference of knowing when to let a trade go, and when to stay in. Don't let yourself be distracted.

In online currency trading, you may have heard the 20/80 rule, which can be applied to many things. This rule is pretty straight forward, if you have not heard of it, it is simply that 20 percent of the traders are making 80 percent of the profits. The reason this is like this, is that most traders aren't able to focus on the whole game plan.

When it comes to online currency trading, you may have seen "systems" out their that claim to make instant success and easy trades. I am sure you have seen these come and go. Profitable traders don't rely on just one system, they rely on many. Ever hear that age old expression "Don't put all your eggs in one basket"? This could not be any more true, it is a bad idea to have all your money invested into one thing. This applies to pretty well everything out there.

Sticking to one system for online currency trading is asking for a slow ride to any success. In order to become a wealthy trader, applying many systems to your day trading techniques and use them to your advantage. It can sometimes be a difficult process trying to find a system that works right for you. Once you find yourself a few good systems, don't forget to test them out for a few weeks to ensure that they can achieve consistent results. Once you have yourself good systems that have consistent results, it is a piece of cake from there. Don't let yourself fall into the slacking trader statistic of the 20/80 rule, dominate the market and be separate from the rest. - 23167

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The Penny Stock Broker Is Your Side Kick

By Malcolm Torren

Penny stocks are information-sensitive investments and are therefore very versatile. Compared to other investments, these are less liquid. The stocks are prone to fraudulent activities both online and offline. Stock prices are difficult to price accurately thus lure in scheming opportunists. Also, there is lack of information in companies that sell their penny shares. With all these potential risks mentioned, you need a best friend in the business. The penny stock broker can help you with your investments.

In between the stock seller and the stock buyer is the brokerage firm. If a company sells the stocks, someone has to buy it. The penny stock broker will facilitate and the transaction is completed. But in practice, this is not as easy as it is described here. It's much more complex and requires special stock market intelligence. This is like an advanced buy-and-sell procedure where investors win and lose everyday.

- How can these brokerage firms help you? Movies about big corporations usually have scenes of a major stock exchange. It would seem like everything in the trading floor is messed up. On the contrary, it is very well in order. If a small cap company sells shares at a low start and someone buys them, the brokerage is behind the dealings. The penny stock broker is like the gatekeeper of your stocks. They guard your investment safely from market manipulations.

- What is their leverage? The greatest advantage of working with a penny stock broker is that they are the most exposed entities in the business. They understand the loops inside and out. They can give you sound advice on what stocks to buy, when to buy them, and how. Of course they would also advice you what stocks to sell, when, and how to sell them. Whether you win of you lose, they will always be your ally.

- Will they lose if you lose? No. A penny stock broker is not the investor. They are the middle men and technically speaking, they don't have any interest that contradicts yours. Therefore they don't have anything to lose or profit. What they are providing is service. They do you a favor of facilitating your investments hoping that you will profit and they will get a commission.

- So can they make money if you lost your investment? If your stocks fell and you didn't make any money, they get the commission elsewhere. The penny stock broker survives and sustains their service by handling many clients. So they're basically a service oriented firm with a list of clientele. You are one of them.

- Will it be fair if you lose while they still earn? Honestly, yes it is. But most of these brokerage firms advice you to spread your investments to as many share to many companies as long as you can still afford it. So that way, if you lose from one investment, you might gain from the other. That's another way to make a good bargain. And you may have another broker to assist you with your other investments.

Here's a tip for you, though. Many ambiguous claims of cheap stocks pretend that he or she is a legit penny stock broker. Shares are lowered to the most affordable rate because of the fact that penny stocks are priced inaccurately. If this happens, check on their track record if there's any document available. Report any activities of this kind to the SEC. - 23167

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To Learn Forex

By Bart Icles

As much as you give yourself time to learn the basics of the forex market, as well as some advanced ideas about it, it also helps to learn forex trading myths to keep yourself aware. These myths can as easily trick you to making the biggest mistakes in forex trading that can prove to be damaging, especially to newcomers to the currency market. More often than not, there are many newcomers who fall into the array of forex traders who end up losing their money because they are all too caught up in believing that forex trading is a get-rich-quick scheme. This is just one of the many forex myths that you should learn so you can keep yourself from making the biggest forex trading markets that any trader can commit.

Forex trading is not a simple buy and sell thing and it does not offer any get-rich-quick promises. Currency trading requires a thorough understanding of what the different trading systems are and how you can use trading signals to your advantage. To learn forex trading basics is just the start. This unpredictable market might require you to go through a series of losses first before you can fully understand the different crafts used in the trade. Keep in mind that forex trading is far from child?s play.

With this said, it also helps to take note that forex trading is far from playing online casino games. There are those who equate trading to gambling but this should not be the case. In forex trading, your success does not totally rely on luck. Your success can also be defined by how well you are able to understand and use macroeconomic indicators to your advantage.

If you are thinking that forex trading is just for the rich and famous strategists, you can never be more wrong. The currency market is by far one of the easiest markets that newcomers can join. You simply need a computer, an internet connection, some spare time to spend on trading, and about a couple of dollars in capital. If you were able to spend enough time to learn forex basics and myths, you will be able to distinguish which things to do best in certain situations that will eventually help you rake in profits.

So remember, to learn forex basics is not enough. You should also learn about the different forex myths so you can develop ways son how to avoid them. Awareness can just become your key to success in this rewarding yet unpredictable market. - 23167

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Commodity Futures Trading - How To Reduce Risk And Aim For Success

By Joseph Archibald

Thinking about going into online trading of commodity futures? If so then I am sure you are aware there is a lot of risk involved. Let's have a look at the risk and how we can reduce it to a minimum.

With commodities trading, in comparison to stocks and shares, there is a positive factor. There will never be a time when your investment is totally worthless. For example - gold, natural gas, corn will all have some financial value. It may well drop at times but it will never be worthless. Stocks and shares however can be worthless. Bankruptcy has hit many a company in the past 18 months.

Keep your wits about you and do not get carried away with your successes. Do not either have the mentality of making up your losses as soon as possible. If you do then you end up gambling and this is not what commodity trading should be about.

Many commodity traders, particularly those that are fairly new to the business, try to utilize too much leverage. As an example of this lets take 100 ounces of gold as a contract with a value of $1000 an ounce. Total value is $100,000. The margin (deposit) will probably be around 10% of the value of the contract, thus $10,000.

Now this is where the problems begin to arise. A commodity trader who is being bullish on gold may think its a good time to buy into 10 gold contracts at a cost of $100,000 to their trading account. So if the price of gold were to move to $1100 an oz. then all is well and the money in the traders account doubles.

If things do go well then great, life is good and all is well, but chances are that if you continue to trade in this way - which is to some extent a gamble - you will lose out in the mid to long term.

With this sort of exposure in the market we could end up with serious losses. Its all very well to see things very positively and continue to believe in profit after profit. But at the same time we need to be realistic and know that there will be times when we hit a few losses. As such we need to have the funds available to deal with the losses.

Trading online commodity futures does provide for advantages over the old way because keeping up to date with the market is simple and very fast. Its perhaps even easier now for the inexperienced trader to feel safe due to this online flexibility and speed of action and thus become over exposed in the first place. Leverage being offered by the broker is a great thing but only when used wisely so be sure to do things in moderation. - 23167

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