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Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Investments In Australian Stock Market

By Michael Kaufmann

Investors interested in the Australian stock market should be inspired by the minimal delays in the stock trading, since the all-electronic system has been implemented. The added bonus of direct transactions with investors are due to the fact that there is none of those market markers for ordinary shares or loss of stop orders in SEATS, which is the all-electronic trading system.

Gone is the call system, in which exchange employees called "chalkies" would write on chalkboards to indicate bids and asks. Now traders can place their orders via the internet, and brokers normally put them directly in touch with the electronic trading system. Accordingly, online trading has become increasingly popular, fuelled by the new automated trading tools that have become available, such as trading bots.

As a result, new kinds of investors have taken an interest in investing in the Australian stock market. To help these new investors learn how to buy and sell stocks, the Australian Securities Exchange provides a mock trading game called Sharemarket, which gives players $50,000 in play money to invest. While the game is particularly popular with students, it is open to anyone who would like to participate, and is an ideal way for future traders to learn how the stock exchange functions.

The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) has a long history related to the stock market. Since gaining ground in the late 1800s, as it first started out as a separated-based exchange, it has quickly evolved into the main giant stock exchanger it is today. What at first was the beginning exchanges totaling to six, for each capital, the ASX soon turned into a single exchange in the early 1900s, which was ultimately called the Australian Association Stock Exchanges. The ASX may have the power to regulate other stock companies but is not allowed to do any regulating of within its own company, which is, by the way, publically owned. The ASX has limited trading options with regard to its share owners, being that a shareholder may not become more than 15% invested in the companys shares.

The primary regulator of the trading of small company stocks is the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC); this is the market the ASX trades in. In addition, the Ministry of Treasury has the right to impose conditions on the operating license of the ASX.

There are several indices maintained by the ASX in conjunction with Standard and Poors (S&P), including the S&P/ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20. For investors wishing to follow the Australian stock market and its indices, a number of companies offer consultation and guidance. One such company is the Intelligent Investor, which is a group of independent investing experts who give customised advice to members. A free trial membership is available, and full membership includes a 100% money-back guarantee. - 23167

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Position Trading Explained (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

There are four style of trading: Scalping, Day Trading, Swing Trading and Position Trading. Position trading is all about taking a directional market position and holding it as long as the trade makes sense from the trend standpoint. This means that positions are held for longer term.

Most individual and retail traders do not have the patience for position trading. Retail traders dont have the stamina to stay longer than a few weeks in a trade. Position trading may mean keeping a trade open from one week to a month to as long as a year or possibly more in the fast moving world of forex trading.

Only those position traders who have the patience to stick with the trend and let their profits run are generally able to capitalize on these longer term price moves. This is somewhat unfortunate as most retail traders dont have that patience. Position trading can be one of the most profitable styles of trading due to the fact that many currencies tend to trend well on long term basis.

Due to its long term time frame, position trading tends to rely heavily on fundamental analysis along with longer term technical analysis. This is unlike day trading or swing trading that relies almost exclusively on technical analysis due to the short time frames.

Fundamental analysis concerns itself with the economic forces that drive the major market movements. Fundamental analysis is geared towards longer term price forecasts rather than the swing to swing movements that are primarily the focus of technical analysis.

The general direction of change in the currency value over the long run is what interests the position traders. The economic forces that determine the long term trend of a currency include interest rates, inflation, GDP, unemployment and help to determine the value of the national currency overtime.

Trading with the trend is what the trend traders do. Position trading and trend trading both follow almost similar approaches. However, position traders often rely on fundamentals along with the technicals; trend traders are almost exclusively technical in nature.

As carry traders hold interest positive positions to benefit from both regular interest payments and exchange rate profits, carry trading can be considered a form of position trading. How do position traders decide which position to take?

Position traders establish positions on currency pairs according to their views and experience. Forex position traders weigh strength and weaknesses in currencies by taking various fundamental and technical factors into account.

Lets suppose that a position trader is of the view that the US Dollar is indicating fundamental weakness going forward. He/she has performed fundamental analysis on economic conditions surrounding the major currency pairs that involve the US Dollar on either side of the pair.

This opinion may have been formed on the state of inflationary pressure in the economy, the recent rate of economic growth, comments by the Federal Reserve Board (FED) Chairman or the President of European Central Bank (ECB), the state of ongoing recession and so on. At the same time, the position trader thinks that the Euro is showing significant fundamental strength going forward. - 23167

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Tips for Trading Rectangles Long with CFDs

By Jeff Cartridge

Rectangles have been very popular with traders over the years trading the chart pattern when it breaks out in either direction. A rectangle is defined by two lines, one on the upper boundary of the price movement and one on the lower boundary, both of which are horizontal. The lines are parallel. These can be referred to as consolidations or channels, or the well known Darvas Box, used by Nicolas Darvas to make $2 million in the markets.

Rectangles, A Traders Favourite Pattern?

Rectangle breakouts show a slight bias to the upside with patterns breaking up 54% of the time. This upward bias is likely due to the overall bullish bias of the market as the symmetrical nature of the pattern does not clearly indicate a breakout direction. The breakout of rectangles can deliver strong returns with 56% of the patterns being profitable. The average return for the long trades is 1.15% in 12 days.

Improve Your Trades

A break to the upside works better in a rising or consolidating market. By using filters that require the market, sector and stock to be in a consolidation or an up trend you can improve the results.

Rectangles are not dependent on where in the pattern the breakout occurs. The length of a rectangle is important with patterns that are longer than 10 days and less then 35 days producing better results.

If the volume is in support of the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way up is higher than the volume on the way down. The best results are achieved if the high is higher or equal before the breakout and do not trade patterns that are formed around an outside day candle.

Rectangles Deliver Strong Profits

You can improve your trading results by using a series of simple filters that have been outlined here. This select group of rectangles delivers an average profit of 1.89% in 13 days and is profitable on a very high 71% of the trades. Overall this makes rectangles attractive to trade.

Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23167

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The Forex Trading Market Is Making The Average Investor Extremely Wealthy!

By Howard G. Platt 111

What exactly is the Forex Trading Market? It is currency trading at it's best. Forex Trading is similar to the NY Stock Exchange but instead of trading stocks it is trading the currencies of most the nations throughout the world.

Forex Trading is typically carried out through a broker. Unlike NYSE the Forex market runs non-stop 24 hours per day 5 days a week. Foreign currencies are sold across local and global markets and it flows as one continuous action where currencies are bought and sold constantly. What's so unique about the foreign exchange market is that the market reacts almost instantly based upon real time events. This is what makes the market so volatile and an investors value fluctuate so quickly.

The basis of Forex Trading involves the trade of two types of currency. A profit or a loss with a trade is established by the Forex rate which is usually just referred to as the "rate." A traders objective is to purchase one currency based on the value of a second currency and then selling off the purchased currency when it's value exceeds that of the other currency. The rate is established between the two currencies being traded. For example a trader may buy 100 euros and the rate may be 1.075 at the time of purchase but for some reason the value of the euro drops resulting in a rate of .75 so the trader sells and he makes a profit of $32.50 US. Forex Trading can be extremely fast paced due to the fluctuations of the many economies that are involved.

Forex Trading attracts a variety of traders for a number of reasons, the strongest being the potential to earn massive profits within a short amount of time. There is also the leverage that can be achieved due to the low margin requirements. The Forex is an extremely large market with all the nations that are involved and this causes a fair amount of volatility. This volatile nature gives way for the potential of earning large profits on a single trade. Another advantage of the Forex is that it is not dependent upon our local or national economy which increases the investment opportunities for the traders. The ability to have zero commission trades for the short term trading draws in a lot of investors.

Trading Forex still carries the same ultimate goal of other types of investing and that being to have made a significant profit in the end. Where Forex Trading differs is in the investors intent to actually take possession of the investment that was purchased. Forex trades are based more on speculation that the purchased currency will grow in value in relation to the currency used to make the purchase and once a target margin is achieved the currency will be sold off once again.

Analyzing the movements in the market to predict future profitable trades is big business. There are many individual traders that form a business out of their study of the market. These traders will share their findings of particular trends in the market and pass their predictions along to the client base.

The technical approach to analyzing the market is based on studying the history of the market. This is where a trader will study charts that show the movements in the Forex over a certain period of time. Fundamental analysis of the Forex market is based on what is currently taking place in the economies around the world. This is a very broad explanation of the two types of analysis, there is much more to the methods than what I explained here.

The number of investors that are now trading in the Forex has grown dramatically. This growth has mirrored the advancements in technology which has brought to the market the technologically advanced Forex Trading Robots. Traditionally trading in the Forex was predominately left to the advanced and extremely knowledgeable traders. Now due to the ease of use and the high percentage of accuracy Forex Trading Robots have opened the doors for the small time investor to now enjoy the huge profits being earned through Forex Trading. - 23167

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EUR/USD Currency Pair

By Ahmad Hassam

EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the global currency markets at the moment. Trading currencies can be exciting and lucrative. Its a great market because of the way politics affect the trends. Elections, strikes, and sudden developments, both good and bad, can lead to significant trading profits if you stand ready to trade the euro is a convenient currency because it encompasses the policies and the economic activity and political environment of a volatile but predictable part of the world: Europe.

France, Italy, and Germany, the largest members of the European Union (EU), normally operate under high budget deficits and tend to keep their interest rates more stable than the United States, where the free-market approach and a usually vigilant Federal Reserve make more frequent adjustments on interest rates.

The general tendency of the Fed is to make the dollar trend for very long periods of time in one general direction. Here are some general tendencies of the euro on which you need to keep tabs aside from the technical analysis:

1) Given Germanys history of hyperinflation in the first half of the 20th century and the repercussions of that period, namely the rise of Hitler, the European Central Bank (ECB) is almost fanatical about inflation. That means that the European Central Bank raises interest rates more easily than it lowers them.

2) The US and the EU are two major trading partners. This gives EUR/USD currency pair very interesting characteristics. EUR/USD pair is affected by what is happening politically and economically both in Europe and the US. The European Central Banks actions become important when all other factors are equal, meaning politics are equally stable or unstable in the United States and Europe, and the two economies are growing. For example, if the U.S. economy is slowing down, money slowly starts to drift away from the dollar. In the past that meant money would move toward the Japanese yen; however, because the market knows that Japans central bank will sell yen, the default currency when the dollar weakens is often now the euro. USD is inversely correlated to the gold prices. All these facts should be taken into consideration while forming your bias about a particular currency pair.

3) EUR/USD currency pair is heavily influenced by the political developments in the Eurozone. Especially when the European economy is slowing The flip side is that the market becomes jittery and often sells the euro during political problems in the region.

As usual, you want to closely monitor major currencies and the cross rates. Its okay to form an opinion and have some expectations, but the final and only truth that should make you trade is what the charts are showing you. The direction that counts is the one in which the market is heading.

It is always best to choose only two or three currency pairs and become a specialist in them. Two currency pairs that I would recommend for you are the EUR/USD and the GBP/USD. Both these currency pairs are highly liquid and very popular among the currency traders. Fundamental analysis can help you determine the strong/weak currency pair. Use fundamental analysis to determine if USD is expected to lose value and EUR is expected to gain more strength that means that the currency pair EUR/USD is perfectly timed for swing trading. Use technical analysis to make the entry and exit decision. Combining fundamental analysis with the technical analysis can give you the edge as a forex trader. Sometimes there is a fundamental shift in the direction of a currency pair. As long as you are not following a currency pair like EUR/USD on the daily basis, you wont be able to understand what is happening. - 23167

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